Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 67.1%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto1 lug 25, 00:27 UTC2 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
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Elon Musk-endorsed candidate can be another Republican winning in a Republican primary against the incumbent, in which case the results of the general election for that seat will be ignored, or a member of any party (including another Republican in the states with non-partisan general elections) winning in a general election.
- Only the midterm elections on 11/3/2026 will be considered.
- Endorsement will be confirmed by Musk's public statements or reliable reports of Musk's campaign contributions.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk??
- Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Elon Musk-endorsed candidate can be another Republican winning in a Republican primary against the incumbent, in which case the results of the general election for that seat will be ignored, or a member of any party (including another Republican in the states with non-partisan general elections) winning in a general election.