Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 88.4%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
13 giu 26, 04:11 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if both of the following conditions are met on or before December 31, 2027:
- Losing the Premiership: Following the next Israeli legislative election (scheduled by October 27, 2026, or held earlier as a snap election), Benjamin Netanyahu is not the Prime Minister of Israel in the government successfully sworn in immediately after that election.
- Relocating to Miami: Within six months of the newly formed government being sworn in (and no later than December 31, 2027), Benjamin Netanyahu leaves Israel and takes up residence in the Miami metropolitan area (or South Florida) for a continuous period of at least 30 days.
- This must be confirmed by reputable national or international news organizations (e.g., The Times of Israel, Reuters, Associated Press, or The New York Times).
- This market will resolve to NO if:
Mercati aperti
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
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- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
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- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
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+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami??
- Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria