Probabilità implicita attuale
Éric Zemmour 100%+14.4ptIn testa tra 21 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
6,5K €
Liquidità
100,8K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
22
Variazione 7g
+22.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
22 apr 26, 22:25 UTC23 apr 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next French Presidential Election
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Manifold MarketsWill Jordan Bardella be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
Manifold MarketsRegole
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
- Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.