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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

8.1% (24h)One-OffPoliticaElezione10m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Gabriel Attal
Gabriel Attal 100%+8.5%
In testa tra 21 esiti
Qualita del mercato

52 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

1,6K €

Liquidità

16,1K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

2.4% / 7.1%

Spread

195.8%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-2.6%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 7 minuti fa

22 apr 26, 22:3223 apr 27, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Jean-Luc Mélenchon99%

Regole

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
  • Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Regole

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
  • Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.