Will the Republican presidential candidate endorsed by Trump win the 2028 Republican primaries?

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 80.3%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 11 ore fa

Obsoleto

6 nov 24, 14:57 UTC1 lug 28, 03:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

I think this is a good measure of how much influence Trump/MAGA will have on the future of the Republican party.

Will Trump endorse a candidate for the primaries who goes on to win the primary and become the 2028 Republican presidential candidate?
Some potential resolution cases:
Trump does not endorse a candidate: N/A
Trump runs himself and wins: Yes
Trump endorses a third party candidate who becomes a serious candidate but does not win the Republican primary: No

Mercati aperti