Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.2%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto9 feb 23, 23:56 UTC1 gen 28, 08:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill any country leave the Abraham Accords by EO2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
KalshiWhich of these countries will leave the EU by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?
MetaculusWill some members (1 or more) leave the EU (European Union) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Only counts events after market creation.
- What matters is the date of actually leaving, not the date of deciding to leave.