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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

One-OffPoliticaGeopoliticaEurope3a
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Italy
Italy 5%
In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato

24 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

79,3 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

2.5% / 4.5%

Spread

80.0%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 minuti fa

18 feb 25, 15:001 gen 30, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Italy5%

Regole

If Italy votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Germany votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If France votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Spain votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Poland votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Hungary votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercati Correlati

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

0 €
Sì: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?

86,6 €
Sì: 13.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
EU has a new member before 2030?

EU has a new member before 2030?

0 €
Sì: 74%KalshiKALSHI
Metaculus

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0 €
Sì: 4%MetaculusMETACULUS
Manifold Markets

No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026

1,7K €
Sì: 93.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

0 €
Sì: 4%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,804.74+2.15%EthereumETH$1,655.68+1.43%SolanaSOL$65.13+1.36%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.35%XRPXRP$1.12+0.29%BNBBNB$595.92+1.65%

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Regole

If Italy votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Germany votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If France votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Spain votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Poland votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Hungary votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.