Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 77.6%
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14
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto13 nov 23, 21:55 UTC2 gen 30, 05:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
Will Anthropic still exist as an independent company in 2030? This resolves as NO if Anthropic is acquired by another company or folds by 2030.
- It resolves YES if Anthropic has not been acquired and is still in existence by 2030 with a Board of Directors that is independent, or is Public without getting bought out.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 322,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 altri esiti
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- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
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- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 78% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030??
- Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will Anthropic still exist as an independent company in 2030? This resolves as NO if Anthropic is acquired by another company or folds by 2030.