Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (99%)
Risolto: 10 ott 2026, 06:34
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Dati al 10 ott 2026, 17:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?
KalshiWhat will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will Claude Fable 5 score on ARC-AGI-3?
Manifold MarketsWill any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsClaude Fable 5.2+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsClaude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if Anthropic publicly releases a new Claude Fable model with version 5.2 or higher (e.g. Fable 5.2, 5.5, 6) on October 9, 2026, Pacific Time (00:00–23:59 PT).
- Resolves NO otherwise, including if it was already released before October 9 PT.
- Counts as a release:
- - Anthropic officially announces it AND it is usable that day through at least one official channel: claude.ai / Claude apps (paid-only is fine), Claude Code, or the Claude API.
- - Staged rollouts count if at least some ordinary paying customers can select or call it by name on October 9 PT.
- - Country restrictions are fine if it is publicly available in at least one country.