Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale>=$10B 100%In testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori
53
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-2.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto2 lug 25, 13:03 UTC1 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
OpenAI annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic or OpenAI revenue run rate exceed Tesla, SpaceX, and X combined by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest annualized revenue run rate by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Will Anthropic achieve the following annualized revenue or annualized recurring revenue (ARR) rates at any point on or before December 31, 2026? Based on company statements or credible reporting from outlets like CNBC, Bloomberg, The Information, etc.
- No grace period: report must occur by December 31
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 322,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota >=$10B al 100% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026??
- Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will Anthropic achieve the following annualized revenue or annualized recurring revenue (ARR) rates at any point on or before December 31, 2026? Based on company statements or credible reporting from outlets like CNBC, Bloomberg, The Information, etc.