Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 97.5%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto7 nov 23, 05:33 UTC7 nov 26, 06:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Mississippi River incur a catastrophic flood in the next three years?
Manifold MarketsWill strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAssuming discovery in the next 10 years Will the first proved Aliens discovered resemble "Grays" or Ebbens lore?
Manifold MarketsWill we have proof that we live in a simulation in the next three years? (before 2028)
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
Manifold MarketsRegole
MOD EDIT (Nov 2, 2025 - @Stralor):
- Since it was undefined, we'll be using the common definition of aliens as found on wikipedia, aka extraterrestrial life in any form.
- Sorry to anyone who was hoping to resolve by extraterrestrial intelligence (a valid assumption, but I'm swinging my mod privileges), an Alien franchise Xenomorph, or a technicality on foreigners or introduced species being called alien.
