Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will AI get a medical license in the USA? (5 year question)?

Manifold Markets quota No al 91.1% al 31 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will AI get a medical license in the USA? (5 year question)?

Will AI get a medical license in the USA? (5 year question) dovrebbe risolversi il 19 agosto 2028.

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No 91.1%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Aggiornato 3 ore fa

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19 ago 23, 17:32 UTC19 ago 28, 18:29 UTC

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"It can know all the medicine in the world but until it has a license, the AI cannot prescribe anything"

We are aware that there exist a huge amount of regulation when it comes to the medical industry.
Some people believe that the license itself will decrease in value.
Perhaps people will just go to the doctor less when they feel like even without a license, the AI's advice is useful enough to avoid paying for the visit.
Some smart wearables are already capable of detecting a potential Covid infection ~5 days before it starts.