Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.7%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto17 giu 26, 00:31 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves according to: Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
- The charge or indictment of a company or organization behind the AI or large language model will not be sufficient.
- Charges or indictments must be of the AI or LLM itself.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
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+5 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? [Polymarket]?
- Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? [Polymarket] dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves according to: Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
- Dove altro è quotato Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? [Polymarket]?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.