Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026?
IAOne-OffTecnologiaIntrattenimento3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 83.5%
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto7 apr 24, 16:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift make the best selling album in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsA Chinese car is one of the top 5 best selling passenger car models in Canada in 2026
Manifold MarketsIFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of 2026?
KalshiWho will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
PolymarketTop U.S. Selling Vinyl Album: 2026
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if some video-game that released this year or later gets into the top 10 in the List of best-selling video games, according to Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games.
- Must be top 10 at any time before market close (EOY 2026).
- @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-be021261544d
- @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-0d580bfd0bb9 (This one) @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-c53f4ba5e055
- @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20@/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-involving-llm-dia
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 322,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 84% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026??
- Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if some video-game that released this year or later gets into the top 10 in the List of best-selling video games, according to Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games.