Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 79.2% al 28 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040??

Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2040.

Come viene liquidato Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if, in my judgement, that’s the reason for the award, even if those exact terms don’t appear in the official announcement.

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+16.0pt46.3%
• Claude-14.1pt45.3%
• ChatGPT-1.3pt5.8%

+5 altri esiti

Volume totale

14,2 Mln €

Volume 24h

176,2K €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.1pt95%
• December 15,+1.5pt93%
• November 30,-1.5pt87%

+15 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+15.0pt50%
• Anthropic-14.0pt42%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6%

+12 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.5pt30.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T-1.0pt23.3%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.8pt16.5%

+7 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+2.7pt97%
• Anthropic-1.7pt2%
• OpenAI+0.3pt1%

+18 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• <$1T-9.3pt20%
• $1.25T–$1.5T+1.9pt19%
• $1.5T–$1.75T+1.4pt19%

+5 altri esiti

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?