Will a P5 nation veto a 2026 UNSCR about US military action in Venezuela or its vessels?
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / UcrainaCinaAmerica Latina2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 68.6%
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2
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo3 gen 26, 19:08 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Yes if a resolution fitting that description (likely about 2025-2026 activity) would pass but is vetoed by any delegates representing US, UK, China, France, or Russia.
- Resolution must be meaningfully "about" US attacks on Venezuela or Venezuelan ships, not merely mentioning them.
- Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market opened with a slight bias to YES due to the precedent of the veto of S/21048 on the US invasion of Panama.
