Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 52.3%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto1 ago 26, 16:23 UTC31 dic 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if a human sets foot on the moon after 2000 but before 2030.
- I keep an ordered list of human moon landing markets here: @/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again
- @/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun
- @/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be-4762f93e6882
- Artemis 2 timeline: @/Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2026
- (Identical market to: source market)
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88%
- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 85,3K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Volume totale
- 153,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 39,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 409,9K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 52% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030??
- Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if a human sets foot on the moon after 2000 but before 2030.