Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 83.5%
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto27 nov 22, 18:09 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year?
KalshiWill Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]
Manifold MarketsOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
KalshiEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
PolymarketNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketRegole
yes this is yet another operationalization of AI timelines
- Close date updated to 2030-12-31 3:59 pm
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentKALSHIEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-4.0pt63.9%
- Tie+7.0pt29.6%
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-1.0pt2.8%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 295,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 47,9K €
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?
- 15–17.5M+27.5pt54.5%
- 17.5–20M+26.4pt43.6%
- 12.5–15M-14.2pt1%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
- “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”-0.5pt76.3%
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”+2.2pt7.2%
- “The Daily Show”+2.2pt6.2%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey54%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball11%
+37 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 44,3K €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 35+34.0pt99%
- Above 30+1.0pt99%
- Above 2599%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 219,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- No Bond chosen+14.6pt36%
- Jack Lowden-16.6pt20%
- Jack Barton-0.1pt12%
+21 altri esiti
- #2 US Netflix Show this week?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a full length HPMOR fan anime come out before the world ends?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 84% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a full length HPMOR fan anime come out before the world ends?
- Will a full length HPMOR fan anime come out before the world ends dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will a full length HPMOR fan anime come out before the world ends?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: yes this is yet another operationalization of AI timelines