Will a Fields Medalist describe keeping up with new AI math as a "full-time job" before 2029?
IAOne-Off2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 60.6%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo23 mag 26, 06:08 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Would Fields Medalist Deng Yu begin writing a Yuri Novel before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Silas have a full-time job by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich arrives first: a quantum computer that can break RSA-2048, or an autonomous AI math researcher?
Manifold MarketsWhen will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if, in an interview, blog post, paper, or other public statement, a Fields Medal recipient uses the phrase "full-time job" to refer to the specific activity of keeping abreast of new mathematical results or theory produced by AI systems.
- It can't be used in reference to keeping up with AI news in general, or even social news surrounding AI and math by itself, but specifically the activity of staying technically up-to-date with an AI-accelerated pace of mathematical progress.
- They must use the exact phrase "full time job" in their statement in order to produce a YES resolution.
