Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 72.6%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto18 dic 23, 12:46 UTC1 mar 55, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolves as YES if a directed energy system has levitated a payload of at least 10 grams to the height of 100km before January 1st 2055.
- The payload must be lifted from at maximum 50km by the system (the payload can be released by, for example, a balloon), and must reach an altitude of at least 100km.
- The mass of the payload must be at least 10g when crossing the 100km threshold (the mass of the payload may decrease during levitation due to ablation).
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-directed-energy-system-lift-35fc264bbc88
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-directed-energy-system-lift-42027c4cebd3
Mercati aperti
Space
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2055??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 73% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2055??
- Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2055? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2055.
- Come viene liquidato Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2055??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as YES if a directed energy system has levitated a payload of at least 10 grams to the height of 100km before January 1st 2055.