Will a city ban manually driven cars on at least one public road/lane by 2030?
One-OffRegolamentazioneTecnologia3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 74.8%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
23 mag 23, 21:42 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a US city ban meat sales before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a country ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving in at least one city center by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the first to ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving cars in their capital city?
Manifold MarketsWill Congress pass a law banning the sale of Human Driven cars to the average consumer by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsTexas enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketAlphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
PolymarketRegole
I rode in a self driving car over the weekend and was very impressed with its performance.
- Although it still has limited operating hours, I think that driverless cars have a very bright future ahead of them.
- Resolves YES if any city in any country bans manually driven cars on at least one public road/lane in 2030, and only allows driverless cars.
- Also resolves YES if a city builds a new road/lane specifically for self driving cars.
- For occasional maintenance/other incidental issues such as a dangerous malfunction, maintanance vehicles and ambulances can still be driven on these roads, but regular citizens should not be allowed to drive manual cars on these roads.
- On the majority of days in a year, manually driven cars should not be on the road.
