Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJD Vance (Vice President) 99%In testa tra 23 esiti
Previsori
39
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
26 nov 25, 16:27 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
KalshiHow many US cabinet members will leave in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
PolymarketHow many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PolymarketWill Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
KalshiRegole
Taking Cabinet members from here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_cabinet_of_Donald_Trump
- If a Cabinet member changes positions within the administration, they will resolve “No”.
- Announcing a planned departure but not vacating the position by the end of 2026 will not count.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota JD Vance (Vice President) al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026??
- Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Taking Cabinet members from here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_cabinet_of_Donald_Trump