KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
0 86.3%In testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,2 €
Liquidità
53,2K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
3.8 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
18 gen 26, 22:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRegole
If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement will be considered to be made by President Trump if it is announced on President Trump's personal or official social media accounts, made by President Trump in a video or audio format, a direct quote from President Trump in written reporting, or otherwise written or released directly from President Trump.
- The withdrawal of a request for resignation, or the reversal of a decision to fire, does not negate the initial request for resignation or decision to fire for the purposes of this Contract.
- For the purposes of this Contract, it does not matter if the Cabinet member does not actually resign, is removed, or otherwise leaves the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- An "acting" member of the Cabinet is not included.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026??
- Kalshi quota 0 al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026??
- How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.