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Dati al 26 ott 2026, 06:09 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale5+ 71.1%In testa tra 4 esiti
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12
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
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Aggiornato 49 minuti fa
In ritardo12 gen 26, 01:25 UTC3 gen 27, 01:25 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
KalshiWhich Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill some members (1 or more) leave the EU (European Union) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Leaving means leaving cabinet altogether.
- If someone went from one position to another in the cabinet, they are still in the cabinet.
- leave means leave for any reason. resignation, firing, impeachment, death and anything else counts as leaving.
- if JD vance becomes president this counts as leaving the cabinet.
- must have officially left their role before end of 2026(washington dc time).
- Announcement isnt enough.
