PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeNone before 2027 38.5%+0.7ptIn testa tra 29 esiti
Qualita del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,5K €
Liquidità
187,1K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
34.1% / 35.0%
Spread
0.9 pt
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+4.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
22 mag 26, 19:1131 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
None before 202747%
Confronta le piattaforme· Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 35% | +9pt | 1,5K € | 187,1K € | 5 minuti fa | |
 Kalshi80% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 26% | 0pt | 586 € | 52,8K € | 25 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
2.0 pts2a
-3.0pt26%
+2.0pt15%
11%
+18 altri esiti
63 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale86,9K €
Volume 24h586 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration.
- If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
- An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
- If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first.
- If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$1.7k2 lug26g di dati27 lug
Mercati Correlati
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This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration.
- If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
- An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
- If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first.
- If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).