PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
None before 2027 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Riferimento salvato
None before 2027 39.2%In testa tra 21 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
None before 2027 39.2%Qualità del mercato
81 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
3K €
Liquidità
245,3K €
Alta liquiditàOpen interest
18,8K USD
Bid / Ask
— / —
None before 2027Spread
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Commenti
0
Variazione 7g
-15.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
22 mag 26, 19:11 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Principali detentori
Caricamento dei principali detentori
Profondità di mercato · None before 2027
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PolymarketWhen will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
KalshiWhich Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PolymarketWho will leave the Trump administration in 2026?
FutuurWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration in 2026?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration.
- If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
- An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
- If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first.
- If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? · Susie Wiles 28%