KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeRobert F. Kennedy Jr. 28%-1.0ptIn testa tra 21 esiti
Qualita del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1K €
Liquidità
52,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
11.0% / 15.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
22 mag 26, 18:0020 gen 29, 15:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Pete Hegseth15%
Confronta le piattaforme· Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto80% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 34% | +6pt | 1,5K € | 207,5K € | 18 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta pagina | Media | 28% | 0pt | 1K € | 52,9K € | 18 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
3.1 pts5m
+0.7pt40.2%
+3.1pt29.1%
+8.1pt7.7%
+26 altri esiti
68 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale23,6K €
Volume 24h1,5K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Marco Rubio is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- Acting roles are not included.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$1.2k2 lug26g di dati27 lug
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If Marco Rubio is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- Acting roles are not included.