Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 53.3%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto11 nov 24, 22:32 UTC21 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Lee Zeldin has been picked to lead the EPA
- https://x.com/LeeMZeldin/status/1856068555865026956
- If he’s still in office by the end of Trump’s term (including cases where Trump dies or leaves office early), this resolved Yes.
- If he is never officially appointed once Trump takes office, it resolves n/a.
- If he leaves because he dies or becomes sick, it resolves n/a.
- If he leaves because he voluntarily quits for reasons unrelated to health, it resolves No.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
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POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 53% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term??
- Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term? dovrebbe risolversi il 21 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Lee Zeldin has been picked to lead the EPA