Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocratic Party 66.8%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+17.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto6 nov 26, 00:20 UTC8 nov 28, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Mississippi?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 presidential election in Texas?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsHow old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
KalshiMongolian Democratic Party presidential nomination winner?
KalshiRegole
Resolves to the party of the person elected President in the November 7, 2028 election, however the winner is officially decided.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- N/A if no presidential election is held for the term starting January 20, 2029.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su ForecastEx — Will a Democrat win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · Yes 58%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 68%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 68%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 68%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?