PredictItVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione non verificatiRetail prediction exchange
Probabilità implicita attuale
Democratic 58%
Metodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo di domanda
-
Volume 24h
33,8 €
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold Markets2028 US Presidential Election: Winner
Robinhood (Rothera)Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?
PredictItRegole
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Democratic è del 67%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 9 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti. Le piattaforme non concordano su quale esito sia in vantaggio.
Riferimento CoinRithm Democratic 67% · 2 piattaforme · 9 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election? · Democratic Party 61%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 57%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) · Democratic party 59%
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-8.0pt69.3%
- Yes+8.0pt30.7%
- Volume totale
- 14,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 831,2K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 187,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 495,4K €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Bibi / Netanyahu+83.0pt99%
- Ukraine+44.0pt99%
- Kamala99%
+31 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 864,2K €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+17.0pt61%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+16.0pt60%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+15.0pt48%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.2pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt35.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.6%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.2%
+38 altri esiti
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- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- PredictIt quota Democratic al 58% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- PredictIt liquida questo mercato come segue: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.<br /><br />Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No. <br /><br />PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Dove altro è quotato Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su ForecastEx, Limitless, Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Kalshi.