PredictItVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione non verificatiRetail prediction exchange
Probabilità implicita attuale
Democratic 62%
Democratic 62%Metodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo di domanda
-
Volume 24h
184,6 €
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
15 lug 25, 13:18 UTC30 ott 29, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
2028 US Presidential Election: Winner
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Manifold MarketsWill a US presidential candidate promise a national ban on cell-cultivated, lab-grown meat before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?
PredictItRegole
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento tra piattaforme di CoinRithm per Democratic è del 62%. Le piattaforme non concordano su quale esito sia in vantaggio.
Riferimento CoinRithm Democratic 62% · 2 piattaforme · 0 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 66%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 62%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
