Which of these people will be alive in the year we get ASI?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which of these people will be alive in the year we get ASI??

Manifold Markets quota Nick Bostrom al 85.2% al 25 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Which of these people will be alive in the year we get ASI??

Which of these people will be alive in the year we get ASI? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 dicembre 2199.

Come viene liquidato Which of these people will be alive in the year we get ASI??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: "We get ASI" = 1 January of the year before the first of the questions in this series to resolve YES (e.g. if https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2034 resolves NO and https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2035 resolves YES, this question resolves based on who is alive on 1 Jan 2024).

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-4.8pt85.9%
• Anthropic+4.8pt13.1%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+18 altri esiti

Volume totale

3,2 Mln €

Volume 24h

126,6K €

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+7.1pt56.5%
• Gemini-7.4pt30.8%
• ChatGPT+0.2pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-2.0pt28.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.4pt19.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt19.6%

+7 altri esiti

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt55.1%
• Google-5.0pt36.7%
• OpenAI-0.2pt6.1%

+12 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 15,+8.0pt82%
• December 31,+4.5pt82%
• November 30,-1.0pt64%

+9 altri esiti

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