Which of these parties will be in the next Israeli governing coalition?
One-OffPoliticaMedio OrienteScacchiElezioneSport3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeLikud 71.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+21.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 46 minuti fa
In ritardo29 ott 26, 00:08 UTC31 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will be in the next Israeli government?
PolymarketWhich coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
PolymarketWill Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?
Manifold MarketsWill Palestinian-led parties vote to establish or join Israel's next government?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on which of the listed parties are members of the next officially sworn-in Israeli government (the 38th government of Israel) following the 26th Knesset elections.
- Each option resolves independently:
- YES: The party is a formal signatory to the coalition agreement and officially part of the governing coalition when the new government passes its Knesset vote of confidence and is sworn into office.
- NO: The party is in the opposition or is not a formal member of the coalition at the time the government is sworn in.
- Providing outside support (confidence and supply) without being a formal member of the governing coalition does not count.
