Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
One-OffPoliticaElezioneChessUS PoliticsSport1m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
National + ACT + NZF 46.1%+1.5ptIn testa tra 18 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
166,7K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.7 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
8
Variazione 7g
-1.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
4 mag 26, 20:12 UTC7 nov 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next New Zealand general election.
- A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.
- The following parties will be considered for this market: ACT New Zealand (ACT), Labour Party (Labour), Te Pāti Māori (Maori), National Party (National), Green Party (Green), and New Zealand First Party (NZF).
- All other parties will not be considered.