Previsione della comunità attuale
Any model announced before 2034 86.6%In testa tra 51 esiti
Previsori
177
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-1.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
1 gen 25, 23:47 UTC1 gen 01, 07:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Which of these models will beat me at chess once released? Resolves YES if they win, NO if I win, and 50% for a draw.
- I'm rated about 1900 FIDE.
- When each of these models are released, I'll play a game of chess with them.
- On each move, I'll provide them with the game state in PGN and FEN notation.
- If the models make three illegal moves, they lose.
- Responses like Nbd2 vs. Nd2 will not count towards this.
Mercati aperti
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+25 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6 Mln €
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- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
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KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
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- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
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KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
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- Volume 24h
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess??
- Manifold Markets quota Any model announced before 2034 al 87% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess??
- Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2101.
- Come viene liquidato Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Which of these models will beat me at chess once released? Resolves YES if they win, NO if I win, and 50% for a draw.