KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before 2030 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before 2030 67.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
Before 2030 67.5%Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Open interest
4,5K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
— / —
Before 2030Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
24 set 26, 00:15 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before 2030
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will an LLM from OpenAI beat a FIDE grandmaster in chess by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a large language model beat a super grandmaster at chess by EOY 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a transgender FIDE chess grandmaster by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a transgender FIDE chess grandmaster by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s IPO Form S-1 be public by 31 October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- Only a game played after Issuance counts.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before 2030
- If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2029
- If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
