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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Foreign Exchange
  3. Which of the following will be true about the rumored “Claude Mythos”?
Manifold Markets

Which of the following will be true about the rumored “Claude Mythos”?

Foreign ExchangeIAOne-Off6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
It will be called “Claude Mythos” on release 0%
In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori

48

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 ore fa

Obsoleto
27 mar 26, 4:391 gen 27, 5:29

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Manifold Markets
It will be called “Claude Mythos” on release
0%
Manifold Markets
It will cost at least 3x more per output token than Claude Opus 4.6 currently does on the API
0%
Manifold Markets
It will cost at least 5x more per output token than Claude Opus 4.6 does per output token on the API
0%
Manifold Markets
It scores at least 50% on SWE-Apex (3rd party evaluation)
100%
Manifold Markets
It scores at least 55% on SWE-Apex (3rd party evaluation)
100%

Esito scelto

It will only be available on the max plan and/or the API7%

Regole

https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves NA if no model that appears to be the one mentioned here is released by Anthropic by Jan 1, 2027
  • Update 2026-03-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The API/max plan availability answer will resolve 30 days after release
  • All other answers will resolve after the model is released and relevant information is revealed
  • Update 2026-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Model released" requires the model to be released to the public (not just limited access like Project Glasswing).
  • Update 2026-06-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A name like "Claude Mythos 5" (i.e., with a version number appended) would still count as being called "Claude Mythos" on release.

Mercati Correlati

How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 output token price get in 2026?

How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 output token price get in 2026?

109,9 €
$20/MTok or below: 14%KalshiKALSHI
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get in 2026?

How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get in 2026?

0,1 €
$4/MTok or below: 28%KalshiKALSHI
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

370,7K €
Anthropic: 85%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

93,7K €
1520+: 99%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

70,4K €
December: 43%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

6,1K €
By Dec 31, 2025: 74%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,663.68+1.86%EthereumETH$1,652.47+1.36%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.84%XRPXRP$1.12-0.34%BNBBNB$595.22+1.26%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.18%

Notizie Correlate

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regole

https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves NA if no model that appears to be the one mentioned here is released by Anthropic by Jan 1, 2027
  • Update 2026-03-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The API/max plan availability answer will resolve 30 days after release
  • All other answers will resolve after the model is released and relevant information is revealed
  • Update 2026-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Model released" requires the model to be released to the public (not just limited access like Project Glasswing).
  • Update 2026-06-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A name like "Claude Mythos 5" (i.e., with a version number appended) would still count as being called "Claude Mythos" on release.