Which of Sabine Hossenfelder's predictions from "What will they think about us in 2085?" will be right?
IA
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Supersonic planes will make a comeback by 2085 69.7%In testa tra 13 esiti
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23
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
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Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto30 giu 24, 02:34 UTC31 dic 25, 13:29 UTC
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Sabine Hossenfelder makes her predictions for the future in her latest video "What will they think about us in 2085?"
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/fdqNJo6JScA)I've tried to summarize and fairly represent Sabine's predictions but I'm definitely open to any changes that might need to be made.
- Most predictions specified a year but for the monogamy/polyamory one and the drone deliveries one she just said "soon".
- For any other predictions with no time frame I've just assumed 2085.
- A asked Claude 3.5 Sonnet for some quantifiable metrics for each prediction and they seemed like a good start.
- Would be really interested if Sabine would sign off on these:
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Domande frequenti
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- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Sabine Hossenfelder makes her predictions for the future in her latest video "What will they think about us in 2085?"