Which lab will have the #1 model on Epoch AI's Capabilities Index (ECI) on November 6, 2026?
9.1 pt (24h)IAOne-OffTecnologia16g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAnthropic 74.3%-9.1ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-9.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto7 ott 26, 19:48 UTC7 nov 26, 06:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Which AI lab will own the top-scoring model on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) at the end of November 6, 2026 (US Eastern)?
- Resolution source: the ECI leaderboard at https://epoch.ai/eci (Epoch AI).
- I will read it on or shortly after the evening of Nov 6, 2026 and resolve to the lab that developed the model with the highest ECI score shown.
- If Epoch's data had already updated past Nov 6 when I check, I will use the Internet Archive snapshot closest to Nov 6 23:59 ET, or Epoch's published data file for that date.
- The model's developer decides the answer (e.g. Claude → Anthropic, GPT → OpenAI, Gemini → the named outcome, Grok → xAI).
- Anything else → Other.
