Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeUkraine 21%In testa tra 14 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto8 apr 26, 15:57 UTC31 mar 27, 22:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which country will be the 2nd largest arms exporter in the world in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiRegole
Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Ukraine was the #1 arms importer in the world until last year, when it fell to 3rd, according to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).
- Which country will be the #1 largest arms importer in the world in 2026, according to data published by SIPRI?
- SIPRI typically updates annual arms import figures each March with an accompanying report (the most recent report was published Mar 2026, see also Mar 2025, Mar 2024, Mar 2023).
- SIPRI's arms import figures are available on their database.
- To get the data for last year, use their Import/Export top list function with the period set to 2025-2025.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 55,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8K €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which country will be the largest arms importer in the world in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Ukraine al 21% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which country will be the largest arms importer in the world in 2026??
- Which country will be the largest arms importer in the world in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which country will be the largest arms importer in the world in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Ukraine was the #1 arms importer in the world until last year, when it fell to 3rd, according to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).