Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeGoogle 79.1%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto9 mar 25, 16:38 UTC31 dic 26, 10:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegole
https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard
- All companies that have a model at the top of the leaderboard at any point in 2027
- At the top is defined as having the highest Elo score on the leaderboard
- Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
- Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2026?
- Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027?
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume totale
- 224,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5K €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 344,9K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Google al 79% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027??
- Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard