Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeGoogle 58.6%In testa tra 8 esiti
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14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto9 mar 25, 16:38 UTC31 dic 26, 10:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PolymarketWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegole
https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard
- All companies that have a model at the top of the leaderboard at any point in 2028
- At the top is defined as having the highest Elo score on the leaderboard
- Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
- Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2026?
- Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027?
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota Google al 59% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028??
- Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard