Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Mox Opal 9.7%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto17 dic 24, 00:00 UTC17 dic 26, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump Class Battleship be built or will the US Navy determine it is wasteful and unnecessary for modern warfare
Manifold MarketsWill any of the Magic: The Gathering "culturally insensitive cards" be reprinted or unbanned by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Four cards were just unbanned in the Magic: the Gathering format Modern today.
- These cards were formerly quite powerful, but there has been a lot of "power creep" in the format.
- Many are saying that the named outcome won't even be played, for example — but the named outcome wasn't expected to be unbanned, and could still be broken.
- SaffronOlive asks on Twitter what odds people think of a reban, and gives these:
- [image]Resolves based on official Wizards of the Coast ban announcements.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.0pt77%
- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+8.0pt67%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 512,6K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 9,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,5K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 56,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 170,4K €
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)??
- Manifold Markets quota Mox Opal al 10% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)??
- Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)? dovrebbe risolversi il 17 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Four cards were just unbanned in the Magic: the Gathering format Modern today.