Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOpenAI 96%+60.3ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+60.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
23 ott 25, 11:56 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0.4%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves to the first lab to release a solution which is subsequently verified to a previously-unsolved Clay Institute Millennium Prize problem.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 322,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
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- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem??
- Manifold Markets quota OpenAI al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem??
- Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to the first lab to release a solution which is subsequently verified to a previously-unsolved Clay Institute Millennium Prize problem.