when will there be peace in Sudan and South Sudan? (includes both internal and external conflicts)
GeopoliticaOne-OffSalute e medicina5aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2032 and over 31.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto20 apr 26, 12:44 UTC31 dic 31, 18:29 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date (YYYY-MM-DD) when a comprehensive, formal peace treaty or ceasefire agreement is signed between the governments of Sudan and South Sudan, covering all ongoing cross-border conflicts and disputes.
- For the purpose of this market, "peace" is defined as the official cessation of armed hostilities between the two sovereign states as documented by a verified international body, such as the African Union or the United Nations.
- There should also be no civil wars within each state.
- If Darfur or other regions break away from Sudan, peace within the breakaway state and any external conflicts will still be considered part of Sudan for the purposes of this peace market.
- If the conflicts remains unresolved by the close of the market, or if no such agreement is reached, the market will resolve to the furthest possible date as per the platform's standard procedures.
