Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 18:05 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeBy end of 2037 84.1%In testa tra 11 esiti
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto5 feb 26, 09:06 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032?
Manifold MarketsAmericas data center capacity at the end of 2026
KalshiWill at least 1% of datacenter capacity be in space by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 100 GW of solar power on the Moon before there is 100 GW of solar power in orbit?
Manifold MarketsTexas enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves YES for an option if, by that date, space-based data centers meet ALL of:
- Location: In space (beyond the Kármán line, 100km altitude)
- Aggregate capacity: ≥10GW total power draw capacity across all qualifying space-based data center infrastructure, cumulative across all operators and facilities
- AI compute: Each contributing facility must be used for machine learning workloads (training or inference)
- Power accounting: Counts power draw by compute equipment (GPUs/TPUs/accelerators, CPUs, memory, networking, cooling).