Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Before 2040 74%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto15 set 24, 19:05 UTC1 gen 40, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who was the character that George R. R. Martin regrets killing (in the ASOIAF universe)?
Manifold MarketsWill the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketWhich POV character will have the most chapters in "The Winds of Winter" by George R.R. Martin?
Manifold MarketsThe Blood of Dawnwalker: Metacritic score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRegole
Fire & Blood by George R. R. Martin was published in 2018; it is a fictional history book set in the world of the author's as-yet-unfinished fantasy series A Song of Ice and Fire.
- A second volume of the book, with the planned title Blood & Fire, is expected, though Martin has said that he will not publish it before the release of the next novel in the ASOIAF series, The Winds of Winter.
- This is an independent multiple-choice market; each option will resolve YES if the book is published (not just announced) before the year listed in the answer.
- It doesn't matter whether or not the second volume is split into multiple books (as some fans have speculated); the publication of a single sequel to Fire & Blood counts.
- Posthumous publications, including those involving another living author, (like the final books in the The Wheel of Time series) also count.
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 342,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 182,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8K €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 264,6K €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 84,3K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released??
- Manifold Markets quota Before 2040 al 74% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released??
- When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2040.
- Come viene liquidato When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Fire & Blood by George R. R. Martin was published in 2018; it is a fictional history book set in the world of the author's as-yet-unfinished fantasy series A Song of Ice and Fire.