When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep?
InflationOne-OffRegolamentazioneHealth & MedicineCrime & JusticeManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2048-2054 15%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 23 ore fa
Obsoleto12 ago 26, 00:16 UTC1 gen 00, 04:59 UTC
Trend
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date on which a gene-editing therapy designed to safely and permanently reduce human sleep requirements becomes commercially or clinically available to consumers for a total cost of $10 million USD or less (including the therapeutic agents and the required medical procedure).
- To satisfy the resolution criteria, the therapy must meet the following conditions:
- Target Mechanism: The therapy must target genetic pathways scientifically associated with sleep duration or sleep efficiency (such as DEC2, ADRB1, NPSR1, GRM1, or equivalent sleep-regulating genes).
- Availability: The treatment must be legally accessible to paying patients, either via approval from a major regulatory body (e.g., the US FDA or EMA) or through a verified, legally operating commercial clinic (including medical tourism).
- Cost: The total retail or out-of-pocket price for a single patient must be publicly documented as $10 million USD or less (adjusted for inflation from 2026).
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 91 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 569,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 359,2K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 79,7K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 18,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,3K €
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep??
- Manifold Markets quota 2048-2054 al 15% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep??
- When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2100.
- Come viene liquidato When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria