Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoIn attesa di risoluzione verificata: 2026
Risolto: 23 ott 2026, 04:05
CoinRithm attende un regolamento confermato dal provider prima di trattare questo mercato come risolto.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 23 ott 2026, 17:31 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
20251%
202699%
20277.5%
20285.3%
Later/Never2.8%
2026Risultato in attesa
2025Risultato in attesa
2027Risultato in attesa
2028Risultato in attesa
Later/NeverRisultato in attesa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Self-explanatory
- Update 2025-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution Criteria:
- The market will resolve to the first year that a >90% score is reported on the benchmark.
- Subsequent years will resolve to no.
- Initialization:
- Probabilities are set by Manifold and may not necessarily add up to 100%.