Previsione della comunità attuale
Never, or later than 2050. 54.5%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
48
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto3 nov 23, 02:23 UTC1 gen 50, 14:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Context: In the recent Dwarkesh Patel interview, Paul Christiano gave an AI capable of building a Dyson Sphere a chance of 15% the named outcome and 40% the named outcome.
- Is this plausible?
- Question: When we will have an AI capable of building a Dyson Sphere?
- Notes: - I will not bet in this market. - Answers will resolve at the date is hit, or we develop AI. - I make rulings on my markets based on the spirit of the question, not the strict rules as written.
