What will the dominant microblogging platform be at the end of 2028 (X, Threads, Bluesky, etc) ? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]
One-OffTecnologia2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 22 ott 2026, 09:05 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeX / Twitter 35.5%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto10 ago 23, 03:49 UTC2 giu 29, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Nintendo Switch 2 be softmodded before 2035? [read description]
Manifold MarketsWhat’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]
Manifold MarketsCoinflip of the century (experiment in prediction markets, read description)
Manifold MarketsWhen will AIs be good at solving complex problems? (read description)
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Dominance is defined by my best judgement of MAU's , or the best available metric.
- Note that the market will resolve to an ESTIMATED MARKET SHARE.
- In other words, it is NOT winner-take-all.
- Ie if X has 55% dominance, I want X to resolve to 55%.
- Friends have told me this is possible.
- If I find it is NOT possible to partially resolve a free response market, I will resolve it N/A.