What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill?
15.7 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffRegolamentazioneIA1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDoesn't pass in Senate 30%+15.7ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+15.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
3 set 26, 16:5331 dic 27, 23:59
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Regole
Bernie (& Greg Casar) just announced the intention to introduce a bill that would ban the development of ASI. https://www.sanders.senate.gov/press-releases/news-sanders-casar-introduce-legislation-to-ban-artificial-superintelligence-and-temporarily-pause-advanced-ai-development/
- Clarifications:
- I mean specifically a bill introduced by these two people, with very similar aims as that released in the summary: https://www.sanders.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/Ban-Artificial-Superintelligence-Act-Release-Summary.pdf
- If there is a clear answer before Dec 31 2027, I will resolve then
- If this exact bill fails, but a very similar one draws inspiration, I will reoslve based on the original bill
- For this market, I care only about the bill's continuity as defined by its tracking number.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill??
- Manifold Markets quota Doesn't pass in Senate al 30% al 4 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill??
- What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Bernie (& Greg Casar) just announced the intention to introduce a bill that would ban the development of ASI. https://www.sanders.senate.gov/press-releases/news-sanders-casar-introduce-legislation-to-ban-artificial-superintelligence-and-temporarily-pause-advanced-ai-development/