What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years?
One-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeThe ICE agent is charged by Minnesota authorities 71.5%In testa tra 14 esiti
Previsori
76
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto8 gen 26, 02:17 UTC10 gen 28, 02:16 UTC
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Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will use subjective judgment to determine whether a future ICE civilian killing qualifies as being "as a result of" the prior ICE shooting in Minneapolis.
- Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer about "medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program" will be interpreted broadly as the ICE agent receiving a slap on the wrist, rather than requiring exact adherence to the specific details (e.g., exactly two weeks of training).
- Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Border Patrol is not ICE - for this answer to resolve YES, the killing must be by an ICE agent specifically, not by Border Patrol or other federal agents.
- Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "the named outcome" to resolve YES, the creator will use subjective judgment to determine causation.
- The creator considers that increased tensions between protestors/observers leading to more conflicts leading to someone getting shot would satisfy the "as a result of" requirement.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years??
- Manifold Markets quota The ICE agent is charged by Minnesota authorities al 72% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years??
- What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years? dovrebbe risolversi il 10 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will use subjective judgment to determine whether a future ICE civilian killing qualifies as being "as a result of" the prior ICE shooting in Minneapolis.